Finance Articles

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There are rules of thumb in every field of interest. I am referring to certain generalizations and assumptions that people make and observe. In the markets there are many but one that catches my attention lately is the correlation between the directional movement of the market and the volatility that is expressed in option pricing. The rule of thumb is; when markets go up the volatility goes down. Recently there is a glaring inconstancy to this assumption and it needs to be noted.

I just finished a training session on the internet and I answered a question that I have answered 100 times before or more. It got me a bit worked up because there is far too much mythology out there about the market and how it works and who does what to whom. I am going to attack one of the straw men of trading myths.

Without your own products and with little experience of your in internet business you can earn money through affiliate programs.

Option pricing is a mystery to most traders. They struggle to comprehend terms like implied and historical volatility or intrinsic and time value, or the "Greeks" (Delta, vega, theta, gamma, rho…). These terms are intimidating and my experience suggests that at least half the folks you hear talking about them do not really understand very much about them. It is important to at least be intellectually honest about it and know what you don't know. It is also a good idea to debunk your vocabulary and get what you do know (or think you know) right. And because it is easy to get a head ache from trying to read and comprehend the myriad of equations and models generated from minds of multi-degreed scholars speaking a language only they seem to understand, it is comforting to know you do not have to learn a whole lot about the technical math soup. It is however, mandatory that you gain some working skills in how to recognize and flow with the option prices or you will get whipsawed and shredded by them.

I have written before about the many types of GAPS and I have mentioned the fact that opening gaps are very common while true gaps are very rare. I have also mentioned that there may be a legitimate strategy of just playing opening gaps. This has sparked many questions about the actual details of the strategy so I thought it worth the time to detail the actual playing of opening gaps.

Good Morning,

Kenny Rodgers had a popular hit with this title that spoke of the gambler's need to manage risk and stay in control. As a trader you too must control your risk and manage your trades but trading is not gambling, it is more like farming or adding a new product to business's product line. Setting stops must be seen as the limits and tactical tolerances of risk that would go into any new venture.

I love to teach technical trading but I have an aversion to letting technical indicators get out of hand. A recent check revealed over 120 indicators that were available to use on my charts. This is also not including many economic indicators that can be and are used by folks to overlay charts and predict activity.

The end of last month, a broker from New York calls me. He has called several times over the last year to tell me I need to open an account with him because he has such a great buying opportunity. He was armed with a strong list of fundamentals that just had to convince me to give him money to buy this stock. Well I enjoy talking to him because he proves my points about staying neutral and playing the stock not the fundamentals or the news.

Indicators are a powerful tools and they generally have a very specific function. They measure specific aspects of behavior and that behavior is compared to the chart movement. Some indicators are very narrow in focus i.e. only relavent in trends or only in compression patterns while other indicators work well in nearly any market patterns. Some of the more common and respected indicators measure over bought / oversold conditions or trend strength or divergence. I will focus this article on the divergence indicators and how to recognize divergence.

We are currently in earnings season - a time when companies announce their earnings results from the past quarter. These much awaited announcements can cause quite a bit of volatility in the markets, especially when the results are something other than expected. But, as a trader you can learn to capitalize from this volatility and profit from some unique trading opportunities.

In part I of this article you read how the Internet E-Commerce industry is one of the better performing industries this year. Within that industry we selected three stocks that have good fundamentals and strong trading patterns. Those stocks are eBay (EBAY), the University of Phoenix Online (UOPX) and Getty Images (GYI). Finding the right stocks to trade is half the battle. The other half of the battle is using the right trading system to find the best entries and exits to profit substantially from the price moves of those stocks.

Some months are diamonds and some are coal but most of the time I settle for gold. Last month was diamonds all the way; four trades on with four winners. In my book that is "Four by Four Trading".

In reviewing my last five years of stock market success, I must admit that the most important thing that needs to be learned - is how to pull the plug when a trade goes wrong. As a matter of fact, I am going to quote myself here... "If you can not get good at pulling the plug when a trade goes wrong...then you should not be trading!"

I am writing this as I am sitting here at the airport in NYC, after an incredible private tour of GROUND ZERO, from someone who experienced it first hand. It is just unbelievable to see what these people have been through and how much it is still effecting them today. It sure makes me grateful for my many blessings and how every day is such an incredible gift to never take for granted.

In my last newsletter I began my discussion relating to the secret difference between profitable traders and non-profitable traders. I stated that people who consistently win the stock market battle are those individuals who remain focused on "the basics." I promised to continue the discussion in this newsletter. I ended the last article with a "cliff hanger" ending, where I promised to talk about charting patterns, entrances and exits, and more.

Trading in the stock market can be very tricky, especially if you’re looking at more than one position. While certain strategies are inherently complex, managing multiple positions of even the most simple strategy can quickly become an “awesome’” task!